In week 11, many fantasy owners will be making plans for fantasy baseball after Monday night.
With three more regular season games in most fantasy leagues, the time to throw logic out the window is now for owners who need a win to keep post-season hopes alive.
Fantasy owners who are in good shape cannot afford to relax or get too creative as a game and / or injury can change the skin color of their teams.
START: Justin Herbert, QB, chargers: Despite throwing for a season-low 187 yards in the week 10 loss at the Dolphins, Herbert connected on multiple touchdown passes for the sixth consecutive game. Facing a dying Jets defense that ranks 26th in fantasy points allowed per game for opposing quarterbacks translates into big numbers for the rookie, who quietly turned the Chargers into a top-10 attack.
SIT: Tom Brady, QB, Buccaneers: Brady is coming off his third 300-yard game of the season, but his owners need to look elsewhere as he and the Bucs are dealing with a stingy Rams defense that not only allows the third fewest passing yards in the league , but also only in second place comes the Colts in the fewest fantasy points allowed per game for passersby.
START: D’Andre Swift, RB, Lions: His time has come in Detroit, so expect the Lions Swift to continue to deliver a high number of snapshots, especially after putting down 149 yards and a touchdown of scrimmage in the week 10 win over Washington. The rookie gets an even better matchup in a Panthers-run defense, ranked 29th in fantasy points allowed per game for opposing backs. Carolina also allows nearly seven receptions per game for opposing running backs, enhancing Swift’s advantage in PPR formats.
SIT: Todd Gurley, RB, Falcons: While Gurley has scored in three consecutive games, he has also failed to eclipse 70 rushing yards in four of his past five games and failed to surpass the top 3 yards per carry in three straight games. He’s a highly TD dependent option that goes against a Saints defense that is the stingiest in fantasy when it comes to RB opponents. This is also a game where the Falcons could be forced to catch up, which would further depress Gurley’s value.
START: Christian Kirk, WR, Cardinals: Kirk has found the end zone in four of his past six games, and QB Kyler Murray’s increased goal count increases his chances of success against a poor Seahawks secondary who allows 21 completes and 270 yards per game for wideouts opponents. With much of the focus on WR DeAndre Hopkins, Kirk has a shot at becoming an elite option in week 11.
SIT: Travis Fulgham, WR, Eagles: Fulgham had only one reception out of five goals in Week 10. Even against a Browns defense that was 27th in fantasy points per game allowed for opponents, the inconsistency of QB Carson Wentz, the increased use of WR Jalen Reagor and the return of WR Alshon Jeffrey makes it unlikely that Fulgham will regain his early momentum.
BEGINS: Jared Cook, TE, Saints: As bad as the Falcons are against WR opponents (31st in fantasy points allowed per game), they are even worse against TE opponents, who are last. That makes starting Cook an easy decision, despite being targeted only five times in the past two games. Regardless of who fills in the injured Drew Brees (Jameis Winston or Taysom Hill), expect Cook to be more involved this week.
SIT: Noah Fant, TE, Broncos: After scoring in each of the first two games of the season, Fant has failed to find the end zone, while also failing to top the 47 receiving yards in a game. Neither of these realities suggests starting Fant when the Broncos encounter a Dolphins defense ranked ninth in the fewest fantasy points allowed per match against TEs.
START: Jakobi Meyers, WR, Patriots: Meyers has been targeted 37 times in his past four games as he established himself as Pats’ WR1. The one thing that Meyers hasn’t done is catch a touchdown, a mistake that should change when going against a Texan defense that has allowed 18 scoring passes and is ranked 22nd in fantasy points allowed per game for other wide receivers.
SIT: Ryan Tannehill, QB, Titans: Last week was just the second time this season that Tannehill has failed to throw multiple touchdowns, but he has also played four games in a row without exceeding 250 meters. Neither trend bodes well for Tannehill’s playing against a Ravens defense that ranks seventh in the fewest air yards allowed. Tannehill also has to grapple with the reality that Baltimore is leading the league in blitz rate (44%).
START: Ben Roethlisberger, QB, Steelers: He’s been on a roll for the past two weeks, amassing 639 passing yards with a 7: 0 TD: INT margin. Expect Roethlisberger to remain a fantasy workhorse at the expense of the Jaguars, who are ranked 30th in the number of fantasy points allowed per game for opponents of QBs while standing last in yards upon completion.
SIT: Kenyan Drake, RB, Cardinals: Returning to the line-up and scrambling for 100 yards in Week 10, Drake faces a Seahawks defense that limited him to 34 yards on 14 carries in Week 7. in obvious situations.
START: Austin Hooper, TE, Browns: Expect Hooper to top the only reception he had in week 10 as he gets a match against an Eagles defense who has battled tight ends all season. Philadelphia is 26th in fantasy points allowed per game for opponents, and their recent woes against the run will open the center of the field for Hooper to create opportunities.
SIT: Tee Higgins, WR, Bengals: The talented rookie has played 100 yards twice in the past four games, but he and QB Joe Burrow will face a Washington Football Team that will allow the next few fantasy points per game to wide receiver opponents. Don’t count on Tyler Boyd or AJ Green being fantasy options too.
This column was provided to The Associated Press by SportsGrid Inc., www.sportsgrid.com