Poll: Democratic Candidates Have the Lead in Georgia Senate Runoffs

Democratic Senate candidate Reverend Raphael Warnock speaks at an election night in Atlanta, Georgia, November 3, 2020. (Jessica McGowan / Pool via Reuters)

A new poll This morning, the two Democrats are ahead of the outgoing Republicans in the two Senate second-round races in Georgia. The survey was conducted by SurveyUSA on behalf of local Georgia outlet 11Alive and interviewed 850 Georgia residents, most of whom are registered to vote and more than half of whom said they would likely vote in the second. tour on January 5.

In one race, Democratic candidate Jon Ossoff has a marginal lead over Republican Senator David Perdue, 50% to 48%. Aside from the regular poll skepticism, this should be taken with a grain of salt; Numerous polls ahead of the Nov. 3 election showed Ossoff ahead of Perdue and the Democrat finished nearly 100,000 votes behind, even though Perdue did not hit the 51% threshold to avoid a runoff.

In the other race – a special election for the Senate seat currently held by Republican Kelly Loeffler – Democratic candidate Raphael Warnock has a bigger advantage according to this new poll. Warnock received the support of 52% of respondents, compared to 45% for Loeffler. In the November 3 election, Warnock finished ahead of Loeffler by 33% to 26%.

At 96 percent, Perdue has slightly more support among Republicans than Loeffler, who has 92 percent support among Republican voters. Of those who say they voted for Donald Trump on Nov. 3, 97% plan to support Perdue and 94 say they will vote for Loeffler. Meanwhile, Warnock has slightly more support among Democrats (97%) than Ossoff (94). Self-proclaimed moderate voters split slightly for Democratic candidates in both races, three to two for Ossoff and two to one for Warnock.

Sure Twitter, New York Times Analyst Nate Cohn said the second-round ballot so far reminds him of “the second round of GA-6 voting in 2017,” when Ossoff lost to Republican candidate Karen Handel in a contest for a House seat in the Sixth Congressional District of Georgia. “The D / R division in the primary has beaten the polls, including a variety of SurveyUSA polls (which peaked at Ossoff + 7),” Cohn pointed out. Ossoff then lost that race by more than five points, despite his advantage in the poll.