Scientists predict date coronavirus deaths will stop – with a warning

Scientists have predicted when the UK could be free of coronavirus.

According to the Daily Star, scientists at the Singapore University of Technology used complex models to determine when the pandemic could end worldwide.

It is believed that Covid-19 could be eliminated from Britain on September 30, but a university spokesman warned that “readers should be careful about predictions.”

They also warned that “over-optimism based on some predicted end dates is dangerous because it can relax our disciplines and controls and cause the virus and infection to reverse and should be avoided.”

The data suggests that the US may be free from the deadly bug by November 11.

Singapore has been highlighted in the forecast as the first nation to remove the coronavirus, as July 19 is believed to be the date the researcher was released.

Italy will follow, where the crisis is expected to ease on August 12.

A leading professor at Oxford University has predicted that falling mortality rates in the UK could reach the stage of fatalities on some days by the end of June.

The UK is currently in phase four of the alert system, meaning there is a high transmission of Covid-19.

Researchers in Singapore have said the forecast is “ uncertain ” and may change over time.

The date is also prone to new wave of infections caused by easing of the closing measures and people breaking the rules.

A spokesperson for the Singapore University of Technology said, “The model and data are not accurate for the complex, evolving and heterogeneous realities of different countries.

“Predictions are inherently uncertain. Readers should accept any prediction with caution.

“Over-optimism based on some predicted end dates is dangerous because it can relax our disciplines and controls and cause the reversal of the virus and infection, and should be avoided.”

Separate modeling in Washington and Oxford has predicted that the UK would see a 24-hour period for the first time in June with no deaths from coronavirus.

However, it is expected that there will be “sporadic up and down” for several weeks after that.

Professor Carl Heneghan of the Center for Evidence-Based Medicine at Oxford University told The Sun: “I think we will look at the data in late June and find it difficult to find people with this disease, if current trends on with the dead.

“But we will continue to have this sporadic up and down for about four to six weeks.”

It comes after the number of Covid-19 patients who died in the UK has risen by 351 today to 36,393, although that increase is much lower than the daily death toll of over 1,000 in April.

Of the latest confirmed fatalities, 121 were in hospitals in England, 24 in Scotland, seven in Wales and three in Northern Ireland.

The youngest victim in England was 41, health bosses confirmed, while three out of 121 had no known underlying health condition.

A further 3,287 people were confirmed to have the virus, the Ministry of Health and Social Care said, bringing the total number of cases since the pandemic started to 254,195.


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