Scientists have used complex models to predict the exact date when the coronavirus crisis will end in the UK, along with data for the US, Italy and other hard-hit countries.
The date would indicate when the UK moves to level one in the new coronavirus alert system – the lowest level of locking measures.
The Singapore University of Technology innovation lab has predicted the exact date that the UK will be free from Covid-19 and can enter Level 1 using data-driven predictions.
It says the forecast is “ uncertain ” and can change over time – meaning it is vulnerable to changes brought about by the reduction of lockout and people breaking the rules.
Current rules in the UK will be maintained until the beginning of June, when schools in England could be reopened – with more businesses, cafes and shops opening in July.
The lab has also predicted when the coronavirus crisis will end in several countries around the world, the report said DailyStar.
Experts have plotted the death rate in the UK to predict when the country will be free from the virus (Image: ddi.sutd.edu.sg)
The model predicts that the Covid-19 crisis may end in the UK on September 30.
And it says the pandemic will be on November 11 in the US, August 12 in Italy, and July 19 in Singapore.
A spokesperson for the Singapore University of Technology said, “The model and data are not accurate for the complex, evolving and heterogeneous realities of different countries.
“Predictions are inherently uncertain. Readers should accept any prediction with caution.
“Over-optimism based on some predicted end dates is dangerous because it can relax our disciplines and controls and cause the reversal of the virus and infection, and should be avoided.”
Modeling in Washington and Oxford predicted that the UK could see zero coronavirus deaths for the first time in June.
Professor Carl Heneghan of the Center for Evidence-Based Medicine at Oxford University told The Sun: “I think we will look at the data in late June and find it difficult to find people with this disease, if current trends on with the dead.
“But we will continue to have this sporadic up and down for about four to six weeks.”