Seven more areas in England could be placed in Tier 3 ‘very high’ lockdown next, according to new analysis.
The ZOE Covid Symptom Study UK initially predicted 10 areas which could be next to move into the Government’s ‘very high’ tier, the Mirror report.
It comes after West Yorkshire is to move into the Tier 3 Covid-19 alert level.
People living in Leeds, Bradford, Calderdale, Wakefield and Kirklees will join more than eight million others across northern England and the Midlands in Tier 3 from Monday morning.
But seven more areas are still at risk.
These include Sunderland, Newcastle upon Tyne, South Tyneside, Erewash, Stoke-on-Trent, Wolverhampton and County Durham.
In a joint statement last night, West Yorkshire council leaders said the region is at a ‘critical juncture’ as the NHS is now starting to struggle to provide essential care.
Figures from the ZOE Covid Symptom Study UK Infection Survey are based on around a million weekly reporters and the proportion of newly symptomatic users who have positive swab tests.
The latest survey figures were based on the data from 12,390 recent swab tests done between 11 October to 25 October.
Key findings include that there are currently 43,569 daily new symptomatic cases of coronavirus in the UK on average over the two weeks up to 25 October (excluding care homes).
This compares to 36,251 daily new symptomatic cases a week ago.
Rates in the North of England are still around four times higher than the South of England although the gap is narrowing, the study says.
It adds that in Scotland cases are potentially levelling off.
London rates continue to climb in a steady linear fashion, it is reported.
Other findings also say that the doubling rate for cases is currently 28 days and that infections nationally have stopped increasing in children and are still rising fastest in 30-59 year olds with only gradual increases in the over 60s.
Tim Spector, Professor of Genetic Epidemiology at King’s College London, said: “While cases are still rising across the UK, we want to reassure people that cases have not spiralled out of control, as has been recently reported from other surveys.
“We are still seeing a steady rise nationally, doubling every four weeks, with the possible exception of Scotland which may be showing signs of a slow down.
“With a million people reporting weekly, we have the largest national survey and our estimates are in line with the ONS survey.
“Data on Covid-19 can be confusing for the public and we can’t rely simply on confirmed cases or daily deaths, without putting them into context.
“Hospital admissions are rising as expected, but deaths are still average for the season.
“As we become citizen scientists it’s important to look at multiple sources to get a broader view. Trends can be different at the local level and our app allows users to monitor this themselves.”
The study’s top 10 areas on the watchlist
|1||Bradford (since confirmed will move to Tier 3 on Monday)|
|2||Leeds (since confirmed will move to Tier 3 on Monday)|
|4||Newcastle upon Tyne|
|8||Calderdale (since confirmed will move to Tier 3 on Monday)|